Ron Santo has been elected to the Hall of Fame.
Ron Santo has been elected to the Hall of Fame!
Ron Santo has been elected to the Hall of Fame!
Well, that is a happy outcome, and an announcement long, long overdue.
Here's the numbers:
2012 Hall of Fame Golden Era ballot
16 ballots.
12 votes (75%) required for election.
--- elected ---
1. Ron Santo ........... 15 ... 93.8%
--- not elected ---
2. Jim Kaat ............ 10 ... 62.5%
3t. Gil Hodges .......... 9 ... 56.3%
3t. Minnie Minoso ....... 9 ... 56.3%
5. Tony Oliva ........... 8 ... 50.0%
6t. Buzzie Bavasi ....... <3 .. ≤12.5%
6t. Ken Boyer ........... <3 .. ≤12.5%
6t. Charlie O. Finley ... <3 .. ≤12.5%
6t. Allie Reynolds ...... <3 .. ≤12.5%
6t. Luis Tiant .......... <3 .. ≤12.5%
I am overjoyed that Santo has at last been accorded the eternal bronze plaque which he has been due since he first stepped off the diamond. And, yes, it is bittersweet that he is gone, died just over a year ago, and is not here to bask in official glory. But the Hall's mandate is to honor the greats of baseball for all time, not merely to confer honor upon those still living so they can enjoy it (and significantly boost their autograph fees). Being alive to appreciate the honor is a tremendous bonus, but not the point. Letting future fans know that this was a great player, among the very best, is.
I'm a bit curious about the 15 vote return -- which one elector withheld his vote? We'll probably never know and I'm merely piqued about it, but this does make Santo the only known honoree ever to fall only one vote short of being elected unanimously... which may be an outcome the Hall would prefer to avoid ever happening, albeit unofficially. The primary BBWAA electorate has over 500 votes -- it is simply inconceivable that that body will ever deliver a 100.0% return. But a small committee -- and the Golden Era committee had a headcount of only 16 -- could do it. Oh, this doesn't matter, I'm just musing upon a vague conspiracy theory -- Jane takes aside one trusted elector and makes it clear that no one, ever, gets unanimity, and then one ballot gets turned in blank -- and will gladly, gladly let it go in the wake of Santo's election.
Stand proud today, Chicago. One of your own has ascended Olympus.
So, what's next? The 2013 voting cycle will bring the Pre-Integration Era ballot, and we can only guess at what names will be on it. The Golden Era ballot, provided the Hall does not revamp this process yet again, won't be back until the 2015 cycle -- but barring any changes, the ballot will likely have several of the same names and a few others, familiar but didn't make the cut this time. Names like Hodges, Oliva, Kaat, Maris, probably some other Yankee -- after a few more times around, or even in the immediate aftermath of this very ballot, the defined era will have been thoroughly mined of worthy candidates and either will elect no one or will elect lesser candidates that have not been overlooked or underappreciated, but truly are wanting a bit when it comes to earning the honor of the Hall.
Seriously, who is left from the 1947-72 era whom would merit induction? I'm not a Hodges supporter, but recognize that he has a lot of fans who will not relent their drumbeat unless and until they get their happy ending, and I won't argue against their position. I'll stand fast with Minoso's candidacy. Joe Torre will get his due when he stands as a managerial candidate. Dick Allen will never get elected unless he gets to convene as an electoral committee of himself. Maris simply does not measure up. Flood, as a player, doesn't measure up either, and the Hall doesn't really have a pathway for honoring basic courage. With Santo off the ballot, the era is that much thinner in interesting candidates. We will see the same names, again and again, with much the same results. After another few cycles, I'm uncertain what purpose that might serve.
Most likely the Hall will revamp the process yet again. It's becoming something of a tradition.
It's been a heady few years for my Hall advocates. Blyleven got elected, now Santo... I have drums yet to beat (Raines, Edgar Martinez, Marvin Miller), but these successes have been delightful.
Congratulations to Ron Santo (in memoriam), the Santo family, the Chicago Cubs (and White Sox), Cub fandom, and baseball fans everywhere. No need for review; this call was made perfectly.
Monday, December 05, 2011
Sunday, December 04, 2011
The Hall's 2012 BBWAA ballot -- The Candidates
Last week, the Baseball Hall of Fame released its 2012 ballot for consideration by the eligible members of the Baseball Writers' Association of America, or BBWAA. Electors have until the end of December to submit their ballots, with the results announced on Monday, January 9, 2012.
The ballot has 27 candidates, 14 returning and 13 rookies.
Returning candidates: Jeff Bagwell, Juan Gonzalez, Barry Larkin, Edgar Martinez, Don Mattingly, Fred McGriff, Mark McGwire, Jack Morris, Dale Murphy, Rafael Palmeiro, Tim Raines, Lee Smith, Alan Trammell, Larry Walker.
Rookie candidates: Jeromy Burnitz, Vinny Castilla, Brian Jordan, Javy Lopez, Bill Mueller, Terry Mulholland, Phil Nevin, Brad Radke, Tim Salmon, Ruben Sierra, Bernie Williams, Tony Womack, Eric Young.
That's a rather lackluster bunch of first timers -- good players, but no one who jumps out as being Hall material. Well, I'll get to my candidate reviews over the next week or two and see what I think after closer scrutiny.
Candidates I have supported previously (and have no plans to abandon) include Bagwell, Larkin, Martinez, McGriff, McGwire, Murphy, Raines, and Smith. I had to cut Walker last year -- I limit myself to ten candidates, which is the actual ballot constraint -- and expect to endorse him this year. The newcomers? Eh. Again, no one jumps out.
The ballot has 27 candidates, 14 returning and 13 rookies.
Returning candidates: Jeff Bagwell, Juan Gonzalez, Barry Larkin, Edgar Martinez, Don Mattingly, Fred McGriff, Mark McGwire, Jack Morris, Dale Murphy, Rafael Palmeiro, Tim Raines, Lee Smith, Alan Trammell, Larry Walker.
Rookie candidates: Jeromy Burnitz, Vinny Castilla, Brian Jordan, Javy Lopez, Bill Mueller, Terry Mulholland, Phil Nevin, Brad Radke, Tim Salmon, Ruben Sierra, Bernie Williams, Tony Womack, Eric Young.
That's a rather lackluster bunch of first timers -- good players, but no one who jumps out as being Hall material. Well, I'll get to my candidate reviews over the next week or two and see what I think after closer scrutiny.
Candidates I have supported previously (and have no plans to abandon) include Bagwell, Larkin, Martinez, McGriff, McGwire, Murphy, Raines, and Smith. I had to cut Walker last year -- I limit myself to ten candidates, which is the actual ballot constraint -- and expect to endorse him this year. The newcomers? Eh. Again, no one jumps out.
Saturday, December 03, 2011
The Hall's 2012 Golden Era ballot -- candidate reviews
In early November, the Baseball Hall of Fame released its ballot slate for the 2012 Golden Era Committee vote, which is coming up later this weekend.
Reading through the official press release, it scrupulously avoids using the term "Veterans Committee" anywhere, and references the more formal "Committee on Baseball Veterans" only once, and there in a historical context. So the rebranding must be considered complete -- there's a wink and a nod, yes, everyone knows this is the current edition of the VC (which has undergone three major revisions since 2003), but the name has moved on. Fine.
The current format parcels out history into three eras, and this ballot covers the second such era in the voting cycle. Named the Golden Era -- which I consider a dismal and biased choice of a name, but won't get up in arms about -- it covers candidates who saw the bulk of their baseball career fall into the 1947-72 frame. The Hall does not appear to explain why those years were chosen as endpoints, though the start was probably due to Jackie Robinson and Larry Doby breaking down the color barrier in both leagues, but it was a tumultuous time in baseball. Besides integration, there were numerous relocations, expansion, realignment into divisions and expanded postseason play, and increased media coverage as television (and radio) grew. Baseball also saw the players union grow some serious teeth, but that's not something many in the seats of power prefer to acknowledge. It was a real effect nonetheless.
Turning to the candidates, I find this ballot mildly depressing. Not the names as such -- there's some strong and real talent among the players, and the executives are interesting names to consider. But it is unavoidable that all ten candidates have been on at least one VC ballot since the 2003 revamping and, obviously, none have been elected. Everyone here is a retread candidate. While I still hold out hope for Santo, the worthiest name (again) on this ballot, it feels a bit like a mundane exercise in rubber-stamping. "Ho-hum, him again..." Ah, well.
Our candidates: players Ken Boyer, Gil Hodges, Jim Kaat, Minnie Minoso, Tony Oliva, Allie Reynolds, Ron Santo, Luis Tiant, and executives Buzzie Bavasi and Charlie O. Finley.
The *asterisk denotes which team I think will adorn the candidate's Hall cap, if elected.
The Players
1. Ken Boyer (playing career | managing career | reviewed on 2007 VC ballot)
Personal status: deceased.
Previous Hall consideration
BBWAA: the full 15 ballots, peaking at 25.5%.
Veterans: 2003, 13.6% (11 of 81 votes); 2005, 18.8% (15/80); 2007, 11.0% (9/82).
Primary position: third base.
Playing career: 15 seasons -- *St. Louis Cardinals (1955-65), New York Mets (1966-67), Chicago White Sox (1967-68), Los Angeles Dodgers (1968-69).
Standout season: 1960 -- 151 games, 95 runs, 168 hits, 26 doubles, 10 triples, 32 HR, 97 RBI, .304 / .370 / .562, 143 OPS+, 6.2 WAR.
Other noteworthy seasons: 1958, 1959, 1961, 1962, 1963, 1964.
Career WAR: 58.4.
Honoraria and claims to fame: 1964 NL MVP, seven All-Star selections, five NL Gold Gloves at third base (1958-61, '63), led NL in RBI once. Member of the 1964 World Series champion, and played well, hitting two homers.
Baseball bonus points: managed the Cardinals for three seasons (one full, two partial) but to little distinction. One of three brothers who played in the majors.
Boyer was an outstanding defensive third baseman, and that's one of the tougher positions to play well. And he could hit pretty well, though he wasn't great at it. Still, position matters, and he was really, really good at 3B. Unfortunately, he had the bad timing to be playing exactly contemporarily with Brooks Robinson and Ron Santo, two of the few who could equal or exceed Boyer with the bat and with the glove, with the result that he never looks greater than third-best of his era. That's some hard beans to swallow, and note Santo hasn't been elected to the Hall yet. I've been willing to cut Boyer enough slack to support his candidacy, with the caveat that I do not rank him before Santo. He's sufficiently Hall-worthy to me, but I doubt he'll get elected.
Chipmaker's vote: Yes! ...as long as Santo gets in first.
2. Gil Hodges (playing career | managing career | reviewed on 2007 VC and 2009 VC ballots)
Personal status: deceased.
Previous Hall consideration
BBWAA: the full 15 ballots, peaking at 63.4% on his last one.
Veterans: 2003, 61.7% (50/81); 2005, 65.0% (52/80); 2007, 61.0% (50/82); 2009, 43.8% (28/64).
Primary position: first base.
Playing career: 18 seasons -- *Brooklyn/Los Angeles Dodgers 1943 & '47-61, New York Mets 1962-63.
Standout season: 1954 -- 154 games (led NL), 106 runs, 176 hits, 25 doubles, 42 HR, 130 RBI, 74 walks, .304 / .373 / .579, 141 OPS+, 6.2 WAR.
Other noteworthy seasons: 1951, 1952, 1953, 1955.
Career WAR: 44.6.
Honoraria and claims to fame: eight All-Star selections, three NL Gold Gloves at first base, games played twice. Member of two World Series champion teams (1955, 1959) and five other NL champions. Jersey #14 retired by the Mets.
Baseball bonus points: managed for nine seasons, the second Washington Senators for five years and the New York Mets for four. Brought home the 1969 World Series championship, but there's nothing special outside of that one miraculous season. Hit four home runs in one game, 31-August-1950.
Hodges continues to carry a lot of popular support as a Hall candidate, but I'm not one of his legion of fans on this matter. I consider him to stand just behind Santo as The Best Player Not In The Hall when it comes to olde-tymer voting, and someone has to hold that title. Hodges, to me, has the ideal profile for it: reasonably long career, very good player with a sustained peak, had some signature moments and lots of postseason exposure, but never quite reached greatness for a full season; bumped up against it but never took that necessary step up. Hodges benefited greatly from playing in Brooklyn and contributing -- and he was a big part, no doubt -- to many winning teams, but if he'd done the same elsewhere with lesser teammates who couldn't win NL pennants consistently, he'd have been dismissed long ago.
That said, if ever Hodges does get elected, I will have no objection to it. He was a very good player; he just doesn't quite measure up to what I want to see in Hall honorees. Almost, but no.
Chipmaker's vote: no.
3. Jim Kaat (playing career | reviewed on 2007 VC and 2009 VC ballots)
Personal status: living, turned 73 in November 2011.
Previous Hall consideration
BBWAA: the full 15 ballots, peaking at 29.6%.
Veterans: 2005, 53.8% (43/80); 2007, 63.4% (52/82); 2009, 59.4% (38/64).
Primary position: LH starting pitcher (pitched mostly in relief in his last five seasons).
Playing career: 25 seasons -- Washington Senators/*Minnesota Twins 1959-73, Chicago White Sox 1973-75, Philadelphia Phillies 1976-79, New York Yankees 1979-80, St. Louis Cardinals 1980-83.
Standout season: 1966 -- 25-13 (wins led AL), 41 games (all starts, led AL), 19 complete games (led AL), 304.2 IP (led AL), 205 K, 2.75 ERA, 131 ERA+, 1.070 WHIP, 3.9 WAR.
Other noteworthy seasons: 1962, 1965, 1972, 1974, 1975.
Career WAR: 41.2.
Honoraria and claims to fame: three All-Star selections, 1966 The Sporting News AL Pitcher Of The Year, 16 Gold Gloves at pitcher (14 AL, 2 NL), led league in wins once, complete games once, shutouts once. Three 20+ win seasons. Member of the 1982 World Series champion Cardinals, played in three other postseasons (member of eight teams that reached the postseason, but didn't always get to play). His 25 seasons played shared the record for longest career until Tommy John surpassed it.
I like great seasons more than good-looking career summary stats -- a great season does more to contribute to winning a postseason berth, which is the annual goal, so I favor a great year. Hall honorees should put up a lot of them. Kaat did not; a few were great or at least really good, but most of his seasons were unremarkable. A good player to have but not a difference-maker. I haven't supported his candidacy before and see no reason to start doing so now. The sixteen Gold Gloves is impressive, but it was never impressive enough for even one-third of the BBWAA to vote for Kaat, and they do nothing more for me.
Chipmaker's vote: no.
4. Minnie Minoso (playing career | Negro Leagues career | reviewed on 2007 VC ballot)
Personal status: living, turned 86 (at least) in November 2011.
Previous Hall consideration
BBWAA: the full 15 ballots, peaking at 21.1%.
Veterans: 2003, 19.8% (16/81); 2005, 15.0% (12/80); 2007, 14.6% (12/82).
2006 Special Committee: not elected (obviously); results were not released, but Minoso got less than 75%, which means fewer than nine votes on the 12-person electoral committee.
Primary position: left field.
Playing career: 17 seasons -- Cleveland Indians 1949, '51, & '58-59; *Chicago White Sox 1951-57, '60-61, '64, and sideshow appearances in 1976 and 1980; St. Louis Cardinals 1962; Washington Senators 1963. And, not to be overlooked, three seasons with the New York Cubans of the Negro National League 1946-48.
Standout season: 1954 -- 153 games, 119 runs, 182 hits, 29 doubles, 18 triples (led AL), 19 HR, 116 RBI, 77 walks, .320 / .411 / .525, 155 OPS+, 8.3 WAR.
Other noteworthy seasons: 1951, 1953, 1956, 1957, 1958, 1959.
Career WAR: 52.8.
Honoraria and claims to fame: seven All-Star selections, three Gold Gloves for outfield, led league in hits once, doubles once, triples three times, stolen bases three times, total bases once, and hit-by-pitch ten times, which had to hurt but got him on base. Jersey #9 retired by the White Sox. Also a two-time All-Star in the Negro Leagues, and a member of the 1947 champion team.
Minoso was a very good hitter with periods of greatness and a very good fielder with periods of greatness. He sustained his peak very well, though his productivity took a dive off a cliff after age 34. That happens to a lot of players -- though there is doubt about whether Minoso really was 34 or much closer to 40.
We cannot give credit for things not done, but Minoso "lost" playing time -- didn't get to play in Major League Baseball anyway, he did brilliantly in the NNL -- to the slow (but by then inevitable) collapse of the color barrier. "Not allowed the chance to do" is not the same thing as "did not do", and with Minoso I'm quite willing and pleased to give him full credit for his pre-MLB years. I think he measures up to Hall standard, and deserved to be voted in forthwith.
The statistics tell us a great deal, but they can't and don't tell the full story, and with Minoso I think his unabridged version is enough to claim the plaque.
Chipmaker's vote: Yes!
5. Tony Oliva (playing career | reviewed on 2007 VC and 2009 VC ballots)
Personal status: living, turned 73 in July 2011.
Previous Hall consideration
BBWAA: the full 15 ballots, peaking at 47.3%.
Veterans: 2003, 59.3% (48/81); 2005, 56.3% (45/80); 2007, 57.3% (47/82); 2009, 51.6% (33/64).
Primary position: right field (designated hitter in his final three seasons).
Playing career: 15 seasons -- all with the *Minnesota Twins 1962-76.
Standout season: 1964 -- 161 games, 109 runs (led AL), 217 hits (led AL), 43 doubles (led AL), 9 triples, 32 HR, 94 RBI, .323 (led AL) / .359 / .557, 150 OPS+, 5.9 WAR.
Other noteworthy seasons: 1965, 1966, 1970, 1971.
Career WAR: 42.4.
Honoraria and claims to fame: 1964 AL ROY, eight All-Star selections, one AL Gold Glove for outfield, three AL batting titles, led league in slugging once, runs once, hits five times (two 200+ seasons), doubles four times. Member of the 1965 AL champion and 1969-70 AL West champion Twins. Jersey #6 retired by the Twins.
Oliva's 15 seasons is a bit deceptive -- two were early cups of coffee appearances, he lost most of 1972 to a knee injury, and lesser injuries and age confined him to 131 games or less in five other seasons. When he played, he was a very good hitter, despite playing in the 1960s, a notoriously difficult era in which to hit. But he never made the step up to sustained greatness, and for me Oliva stands just behind Hodges and Santo as The Best Player Not In The Hall. So I do not support his candidacy, as before.
Chipmaker's vote: no.
6. Allie Reynolds (playing career | reviewed on 2009 VC ballot)
Personal status: deceased.
Previous Hall consideration
BBWAA: 13 ballots (and 2 run-off ballots, a format long abandoned), peaking at 33.6%.
Veterans: 2003, 19.8% (16/81); 2009, 66.7% (8/12).
Primary position: RH starting pitcher.
Playing career: 13 seasons -- Cleveland Indians 1942-46, *New York Yankees 1947-54.
Standout season: 1952 -- 20-8, 35 games (29 starts), 24 complete games, 6 shutouts (led AL), 244.1 IP, 160 K (led AL), 2.06 ERA (led AL), 162 ERA+ (led AL), 1.191 WHIP, 5.3 WAR.
Other noteworthy seasons: 1950, 1951.
Career WAR: 29.0.
Honoraria and claims to fame: six All-Star selections, AL MVP votes in five seasons, once finishing second and another time third. Led AL in ERA once, strikeouts twice, shutouts twice. Member of six World Series teams (1947, '49-53), all champions, and he was a strong contributor (7-2, 2.79 in 15 games, 9 starts). Threw two no-hitters in 1951, in Cleveland on 12-July and against Boston on 28-September.
Reynolds was a good pitcher, but rarely a great one. His sparkliest career stat is his winning percentage, an impressive .630 (182-107), which is partly due to his own efforts and also because he rarely played on a bad team. The Yankees were great, yes, but those Indians teams were pretty decent as well (middle of the league, but never disastrous), though he was gone before the 1948 championship season. Outside of his one great 1952 season, Reynolds doesn't bring a lot of strong merit to the table. He was a good and useful pitcher but he doesn't belong in the Hall.
Chipmaker's vote: no.
7. Ron Santo (playing career | reviewed on 2007 VC and 2009 VC ballots)
Personal status: deceased.
Previous Hall consideration
BBWAA: the full 15 ballots, peaking at 43.1% on his final time.
Veterans: 2003, 56.8% (46/81); 2005, 65.0% (52/80); 2007, 69.5% (57/82); 2009, 60.9% (39/64).
Primary position: third base.
Playing career: 15 seasons -- *Chicago Cubs 1960-73, Chicago White Sox 1974.
Standout season: 1964 -- 161 games, 94 runs, 185 hits, 33 doubles, 13 triples (led NL), 30 HR, 114 RBI, 86 walks (led NL), .313 / .398 (led NL) / .564, 164 OPS+, 7.9 WAR.
Other noteworthy seasons: 1963, 1965, 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1972.
Career WAR: 66.4.
Honoraria and claims to fame: nine All-Star selections, five NL Gold Gloves at third base, led league in OBP twice, triples once, walks four times. Jersey #10 retired by the Cubs.
Great player. Deserves election. Click above and read previous brief essays about Santo if you like, but I have nothing more to add (except that it is sad Ron is now deceased, and won't be here if his name is called to honor).
Chipmaker's vote: YES!
8. Luis Tiant (playing career | reviewed on 2007 VC and 2009 VC ballots)
Personal status: living, turned 71 in November 2011.
Previous Hall consideration
BBWAA: the full 15 ballots, peaking at 30.9% on his first try.
Veterans: 2005, 25.0% (20/80); 2007, 18.3% (15/82); 2009, 20.3% (13/64).
Primary position: RH starting pitcher.
Playing career: 19 seasons -- Cleveland Indians 1964-69, Minnesota Twins 1970, *Boston Red Sox 1971-78, New York Yankees 1979-80, Pittsburgh Pirates 1981, California Angels 1982.
Standout season: 1968 -- 21-9, 34 games (32 starts), 19 complete games, 9 shutouts (led AL), 258.1 K, 264 K, 1.60 ERA (led AL), 186 ERA+ (led AL), 0.871 WHIP, 7.2 WAR.
Other noteworthy seasons: 1972, 1973, 1974, 1976, 1978.
Career WAR: 60.1.
Honoraria and claims to fame: three All-Star selections, two AL ERA titles, led league in shutouts three times. Four 20+ win seasons. Member of the 1975 AL champion Red Sox, the 1970 AL West champion Twins, and the 1980 AL East champion Yankees.
I love Looooooie. He was a very good pitcher with periods of greatness, and one of the most entertaining men to ever take the mound, with a dazzling array of windups and numerous pitches. You never knew what he'd show off next. El Tiante was a showman.
He delivered two great seasons and a bunch of above-average ones, good and useful to his teams but not shining brightly enough for the Hall. I'd love to be wrong about his candidacy and see him on an eternal plaque (smoking a huge cigar for preference; I'm no smoker advocate, but for Tiant it was ingrained into his personality and his lasting image), but no, he's not Hall measure and he will not be elected. Sorry, Luis, you were so much fun on the field, but that's not what the Hall is about.
Chipmaker's vote: alas, no.
The Executives
9. Buzzie Bavasi (Wiki bio | career | reviewed on 2007 VC and 2008 VC ballots)
Personal status: deceased.
Previous Hall consideration
Veterans: 2003, 43.0% (34/79); 2007, 37.0% (30/81); 2008, ≤16.7% (<3/12).
Baseball career
Business manager for various Dodgers minor league teams, 1939-47 (with time away serving wartime military service.
General Manager, Montreal Royals (Dodgers' top minor league affiliate), 1948-50.
General Manager, Brooklyn/Los Angeles Dodgers, 1951-68.
President, San Diego Padres, 1969-77.
General Manager, California Angels, 1978-84.
Accomplishments
Championships: 1955 Brooklyn Dodgers, 1959, '63, & '65 Los Angeles Dodgers.
Other postseason appearances: 1952-53, '56, '66 Dodgers; 1979 & 1982 Angels.
Honors: 1959 The Sporting News Major League Executive of the Year. Inducted into the San Diego Hall of Champions, 2007.
Other: Helped baseball integrate by coordinating with Dodgers president Branch Rickey on finding northern location (Nashua, NH) for new minor league affiliate to ease introduction of black players, including Don Newcombe and Roy Campanella (Jackie was already higher up in the farm system). Established "Dodgertown" spring training facility in Vero Beach, FL. Ran the Dodgers for a long time, including the relocation to Los Angeles. Dodgers acquired Sandy Koufax, Don Drysdale, and Don Sutton during his tenure. Drafted Dave Winfield.
Bavasi was around forever, and made some headlines along the way. That long a career, who wouldn't? His tenure with the Dodgers is the meat of his candidacy, and it was a good tenure, marked with four championships and several NL pennants. But as the Brooklyn-sourced Boys of Summer aged and retired, and Sandy fell to arthritis, there wasn't much left of the great Dodgers teams. Bavasi couldn't work any magic in San Diego -- the Padres once finished as high as fourth (of six) during his time there. Sure, building an expansion team is tough, but it can be done, and here it was not. His Angels teams benefited from free agency, picking up Rod Carew and Reggie Jackson (and letting Nolan Ryan go), but it didn't last.
Bavasi was a very good executive but I don't see the greatness a Hall honoree should provide.
Chipmaker's vote: no.
10. Charlie O. Finley (Wiki bio | career | reviewed on 2007 VC ballot)
Personal status: deceased.
Previous Hall consideration
Veterans: 2003, 11.4% (9/79); 2007, 12.3% (10/81).
Baseball career
Owner, Kansas City/Oakland Athletics, 1960-81. Often acted as his own general manager or other operational roles.
Accomplishments
Championships: 1972-74 Oakland Athletics, the only non-Yankees team to win more than two consecutive World Series titles.
Other postseason appearances: 1971, 1975, 1981 Athletics.
Honors: Inducted into the Indiana Baseball Hall of Fame, 1980.
Other: Signed Reggie Jackson, Catfish Hunter, Rollie Fingers, Rickey Henderson. Never short of ideas, Finley proposed orange baseballs, the designated runner, and free agency for all players every season (a notion Marvin Miller feared).
The other team owners quickly tired of Finley's antics and tended to oppose him regardless the merits of his proposals. Finley tried to sell players (in particular, Fingers, Joe Rudi, and Vida Blue) in the wake of the 1975 free agency decision, only to have the deals overruled by Commissioner Bowie Kuhn. Always frugal -- he lost Hunter by arbitration decision after he had failed to fulfill terms of Hunter's contract -- Finley hated free agency and refused to try signing top talent.
Finley tried to move his team several times -- successfully from Kansas City to Oakland, but foiled in other attempts to move to Louisville (from KC), Denver, New Orleans, and other cities. He worked the phones constantly, always looking for information or a good deal. Finley drove people -- other team owners and executives, players, the commissioner, fans, local officials -- absolutely crazy.
His results, particularly after free agency undermined his management style, were not always so impressive -- not to knock the three championships and five consecutive division titles, those were great teams -- were not always sterling, but his efforts to get results were energetic in the extreme, and his ideas were interesting even if sometimes coming, as it were, out of left field.
Finley had a very clever mind, which I admire, and was a nettlesome rake to many who needed to be nettled. I have no delusions that he will be elected, now or ever, but I have supported him before and am glad to do so again. Baseball could use another loose cannon like Charlie O. Finley. Hey, when is Mark Cuban going to get to buy a team?
Chipmaker's vote: Yes! I would never go to the wire for Finley, but he's such a whacko-fun figure that I prefer supporting his candidacy, no matter how futile it is.
Actual electors are limited to four votes, and as it happens I support four of these ten candidates, so I need not cull anyone: Ken Boyer, Minnie Minoso, Ron Santo, and Charlie O. Finley.
If I had only one vote to cast, no question about it, Ron Santo. His election is long overdue. Make the right call this time, Golden Era committee.
Reading through the official press release, it scrupulously avoids using the term "Veterans Committee" anywhere, and references the more formal "Committee on Baseball Veterans" only once, and there in a historical context. So the rebranding must be considered complete -- there's a wink and a nod, yes, everyone knows this is the current edition of the VC (which has undergone three major revisions since 2003), but the name has moved on. Fine.
The current format parcels out history into three eras, and this ballot covers the second such era in the voting cycle. Named the Golden Era -- which I consider a dismal and biased choice of a name, but won't get up in arms about -- it covers candidates who saw the bulk of their baseball career fall into the 1947-72 frame. The Hall does not appear to explain why those years were chosen as endpoints, though the start was probably due to Jackie Robinson and Larry Doby breaking down the color barrier in both leagues, but it was a tumultuous time in baseball. Besides integration, there were numerous relocations, expansion, realignment into divisions and expanded postseason play, and increased media coverage as television (and radio) grew. Baseball also saw the players union grow some serious teeth, but that's not something many in the seats of power prefer to acknowledge. It was a real effect nonetheless.
Turning to the candidates, I find this ballot mildly depressing. Not the names as such -- there's some strong and real talent among the players, and the executives are interesting names to consider. But it is unavoidable that all ten candidates have been on at least one VC ballot since the 2003 revamping and, obviously, none have been elected. Everyone here is a retread candidate. While I still hold out hope for Santo, the worthiest name (again) on this ballot, it feels a bit like a mundane exercise in rubber-stamping. "Ho-hum, him again..." Ah, well.
Our candidates: players Ken Boyer, Gil Hodges, Jim Kaat, Minnie Minoso, Tony Oliva, Allie Reynolds, Ron Santo, Luis Tiant, and executives Buzzie Bavasi and Charlie O. Finley.
The *asterisk denotes which team I think will adorn the candidate's Hall cap, if elected.
The Players
1. Ken Boyer (playing career | managing career | reviewed on 2007 VC ballot)
Personal status: deceased.
Previous Hall consideration
BBWAA: the full 15 ballots, peaking at 25.5%.
Veterans: 2003, 13.6% (11 of 81 votes); 2005, 18.8% (15/80); 2007, 11.0% (9/82).
Primary position: third base.
Playing career: 15 seasons -- *St. Louis Cardinals (1955-65), New York Mets (1966-67), Chicago White Sox (1967-68), Los Angeles Dodgers (1968-69).
Standout season: 1960 -- 151 games, 95 runs, 168 hits, 26 doubles, 10 triples, 32 HR, 97 RBI, .304 / .370 / .562, 143 OPS+, 6.2 WAR.
Other noteworthy seasons: 1958, 1959, 1961, 1962, 1963, 1964.
Career WAR: 58.4.
Honoraria and claims to fame: 1964 NL MVP, seven All-Star selections, five NL Gold Gloves at third base (1958-61, '63), led NL in RBI once. Member of the 1964 World Series champion, and played well, hitting two homers.
Baseball bonus points: managed the Cardinals for three seasons (one full, two partial) but to little distinction. One of three brothers who played in the majors.
Boyer was an outstanding defensive third baseman, and that's one of the tougher positions to play well. And he could hit pretty well, though he wasn't great at it. Still, position matters, and he was really, really good at 3B. Unfortunately, he had the bad timing to be playing exactly contemporarily with Brooks Robinson and Ron Santo, two of the few who could equal or exceed Boyer with the bat and with the glove, with the result that he never looks greater than third-best of his era. That's some hard beans to swallow, and note Santo hasn't been elected to the Hall yet. I've been willing to cut Boyer enough slack to support his candidacy, with the caveat that I do not rank him before Santo. He's sufficiently Hall-worthy to me, but I doubt he'll get elected.
Chipmaker's vote: Yes! ...as long as Santo gets in first.
2. Gil Hodges (playing career | managing career | reviewed on 2007 VC and 2009 VC ballots)
Personal status: deceased.
Previous Hall consideration
BBWAA: the full 15 ballots, peaking at 63.4% on his last one.
Veterans: 2003, 61.7% (50/81); 2005, 65.0% (52/80); 2007, 61.0% (50/82); 2009, 43.8% (28/64).
Primary position: first base.
Playing career: 18 seasons -- *Brooklyn/Los Angeles Dodgers 1943 & '47-61, New York Mets 1962-63.
Standout season: 1954 -- 154 games (led NL), 106 runs, 176 hits, 25 doubles, 42 HR, 130 RBI, 74 walks, .304 / .373 / .579, 141 OPS+, 6.2 WAR.
Other noteworthy seasons: 1951, 1952, 1953, 1955.
Career WAR: 44.6.
Honoraria and claims to fame: eight All-Star selections, three NL Gold Gloves at first base, games played twice. Member of two World Series champion teams (1955, 1959) and five other NL champions. Jersey #14 retired by the Mets.
Baseball bonus points: managed for nine seasons, the second Washington Senators for five years and the New York Mets for four. Brought home the 1969 World Series championship, but there's nothing special outside of that one miraculous season. Hit four home runs in one game, 31-August-1950.
Hodges continues to carry a lot of popular support as a Hall candidate, but I'm not one of his legion of fans on this matter. I consider him to stand just behind Santo as The Best Player Not In The Hall when it comes to olde-tymer voting, and someone has to hold that title. Hodges, to me, has the ideal profile for it: reasonably long career, very good player with a sustained peak, had some signature moments and lots of postseason exposure, but never quite reached greatness for a full season; bumped up against it but never took that necessary step up. Hodges benefited greatly from playing in Brooklyn and contributing -- and he was a big part, no doubt -- to many winning teams, but if he'd done the same elsewhere with lesser teammates who couldn't win NL pennants consistently, he'd have been dismissed long ago.
That said, if ever Hodges does get elected, I will have no objection to it. He was a very good player; he just doesn't quite measure up to what I want to see in Hall honorees. Almost, but no.
Chipmaker's vote: no.
3. Jim Kaat (playing career | reviewed on 2007 VC and 2009 VC ballots)
Personal status: living, turned 73 in November 2011.
Previous Hall consideration
BBWAA: the full 15 ballots, peaking at 29.6%.
Veterans: 2005, 53.8% (43/80); 2007, 63.4% (52/82); 2009, 59.4% (38/64).
Primary position: LH starting pitcher (pitched mostly in relief in his last five seasons).
Playing career: 25 seasons -- Washington Senators/*Minnesota Twins 1959-73, Chicago White Sox 1973-75, Philadelphia Phillies 1976-79, New York Yankees 1979-80, St. Louis Cardinals 1980-83.
Standout season: 1966 -- 25-13 (wins led AL), 41 games (all starts, led AL), 19 complete games (led AL), 304.2 IP (led AL), 205 K, 2.75 ERA, 131 ERA+, 1.070 WHIP, 3.9 WAR.
Other noteworthy seasons: 1962, 1965, 1972, 1974, 1975.
Career WAR: 41.2.
Honoraria and claims to fame: three All-Star selections, 1966 The Sporting News AL Pitcher Of The Year, 16 Gold Gloves at pitcher (14 AL, 2 NL), led league in wins once, complete games once, shutouts once. Three 20+ win seasons. Member of the 1982 World Series champion Cardinals, played in three other postseasons (member of eight teams that reached the postseason, but didn't always get to play). His 25 seasons played shared the record for longest career until Tommy John surpassed it.
I like great seasons more than good-looking career summary stats -- a great season does more to contribute to winning a postseason berth, which is the annual goal, so I favor a great year. Hall honorees should put up a lot of them. Kaat did not; a few were great or at least really good, but most of his seasons were unremarkable. A good player to have but not a difference-maker. I haven't supported his candidacy before and see no reason to start doing so now. The sixteen Gold Gloves is impressive, but it was never impressive enough for even one-third of the BBWAA to vote for Kaat, and they do nothing more for me.
Chipmaker's vote: no.
4. Minnie Minoso (playing career | Negro Leagues career | reviewed on 2007 VC ballot)
Personal status: living, turned 86 (at least) in November 2011.
Previous Hall consideration
BBWAA: the full 15 ballots, peaking at 21.1%.
Veterans: 2003, 19.8% (16/81); 2005, 15.0% (12/80); 2007, 14.6% (12/82).
2006 Special Committee: not elected (obviously); results were not released, but Minoso got less than 75%, which means fewer than nine votes on the 12-person electoral committee.
Primary position: left field.
Playing career: 17 seasons -- Cleveland Indians 1949, '51, & '58-59; *Chicago White Sox 1951-57, '60-61, '64, and sideshow appearances in 1976 and 1980; St. Louis Cardinals 1962; Washington Senators 1963. And, not to be overlooked, three seasons with the New York Cubans of the Negro National League 1946-48.
Standout season: 1954 -- 153 games, 119 runs, 182 hits, 29 doubles, 18 triples (led AL), 19 HR, 116 RBI, 77 walks, .320 / .411 / .525, 155 OPS+, 8.3 WAR.
Other noteworthy seasons: 1951, 1953, 1956, 1957, 1958, 1959.
Career WAR: 52.8.
Honoraria and claims to fame: seven All-Star selections, three Gold Gloves for outfield, led league in hits once, doubles once, triples three times, stolen bases three times, total bases once, and hit-by-pitch ten times, which had to hurt but got him on base. Jersey #9 retired by the White Sox. Also a two-time All-Star in the Negro Leagues, and a member of the 1947 champion team.
Minoso was a very good hitter with periods of greatness and a very good fielder with periods of greatness. He sustained his peak very well, though his productivity took a dive off a cliff after age 34. That happens to a lot of players -- though there is doubt about whether Minoso really was 34 or much closer to 40.
We cannot give credit for things not done, but Minoso "lost" playing time -- didn't get to play in Major League Baseball anyway, he did brilliantly in the NNL -- to the slow (but by then inevitable) collapse of the color barrier. "Not allowed the chance to do" is not the same thing as "did not do", and with Minoso I'm quite willing and pleased to give him full credit for his pre-MLB years. I think he measures up to Hall standard, and deserved to be voted in forthwith.
The statistics tell us a great deal, but they can't and don't tell the full story, and with Minoso I think his unabridged version is enough to claim the plaque.
Chipmaker's vote: Yes!
5. Tony Oliva (playing career | reviewed on 2007 VC and 2009 VC ballots)
Personal status: living, turned 73 in July 2011.
Previous Hall consideration
BBWAA: the full 15 ballots, peaking at 47.3%.
Veterans: 2003, 59.3% (48/81); 2005, 56.3% (45/80); 2007, 57.3% (47/82); 2009, 51.6% (33/64).
Primary position: right field (designated hitter in his final three seasons).
Playing career: 15 seasons -- all with the *Minnesota Twins 1962-76.
Standout season: 1964 -- 161 games, 109 runs (led AL), 217 hits (led AL), 43 doubles (led AL), 9 triples, 32 HR, 94 RBI, .323 (led AL) / .359 / .557, 150 OPS+, 5.9 WAR.
Other noteworthy seasons: 1965, 1966, 1970, 1971.
Career WAR: 42.4.
Honoraria and claims to fame: 1964 AL ROY, eight All-Star selections, one AL Gold Glove for outfield, three AL batting titles, led league in slugging once, runs once, hits five times (two 200+ seasons), doubles four times. Member of the 1965 AL champion and 1969-70 AL West champion Twins. Jersey #6 retired by the Twins.
Oliva's 15 seasons is a bit deceptive -- two were early cups of coffee appearances, he lost most of 1972 to a knee injury, and lesser injuries and age confined him to 131 games or less in five other seasons. When he played, he was a very good hitter, despite playing in the 1960s, a notoriously difficult era in which to hit. But he never made the step up to sustained greatness, and for me Oliva stands just behind Hodges and Santo as The Best Player Not In The Hall. So I do not support his candidacy, as before.
Chipmaker's vote: no.
6. Allie Reynolds (playing career | reviewed on 2009 VC ballot)
Personal status: deceased.
Previous Hall consideration
BBWAA: 13 ballots (and 2 run-off ballots, a format long abandoned), peaking at 33.6%.
Veterans: 2003, 19.8% (16/81); 2009, 66.7% (8/12).
Primary position: RH starting pitcher.
Playing career: 13 seasons -- Cleveland Indians 1942-46, *New York Yankees 1947-54.
Standout season: 1952 -- 20-8, 35 games (29 starts), 24 complete games, 6 shutouts (led AL), 244.1 IP, 160 K (led AL), 2.06 ERA (led AL), 162 ERA+ (led AL), 1.191 WHIP, 5.3 WAR.
Other noteworthy seasons: 1950, 1951.
Career WAR: 29.0.
Honoraria and claims to fame: six All-Star selections, AL MVP votes in five seasons, once finishing second and another time third. Led AL in ERA once, strikeouts twice, shutouts twice. Member of six World Series teams (1947, '49-53), all champions, and he was a strong contributor (7-2, 2.79 in 15 games, 9 starts). Threw two no-hitters in 1951, in Cleveland on 12-July and against Boston on 28-September.
Reynolds was a good pitcher, but rarely a great one. His sparkliest career stat is his winning percentage, an impressive .630 (182-107), which is partly due to his own efforts and also because he rarely played on a bad team. The Yankees were great, yes, but those Indians teams were pretty decent as well (middle of the league, but never disastrous), though he was gone before the 1948 championship season. Outside of his one great 1952 season, Reynolds doesn't bring a lot of strong merit to the table. He was a good and useful pitcher but he doesn't belong in the Hall.
Chipmaker's vote: no.
7. Ron Santo (playing career | reviewed on 2007 VC and 2009 VC ballots)
Personal status: deceased.
Previous Hall consideration
BBWAA: the full 15 ballots, peaking at 43.1% on his final time.
Veterans: 2003, 56.8% (46/81); 2005, 65.0% (52/80); 2007, 69.5% (57/82); 2009, 60.9% (39/64).
Primary position: third base.
Playing career: 15 seasons -- *Chicago Cubs 1960-73, Chicago White Sox 1974.
Standout season: 1964 -- 161 games, 94 runs, 185 hits, 33 doubles, 13 triples (led NL), 30 HR, 114 RBI, 86 walks (led NL), .313 / .398 (led NL) / .564, 164 OPS+, 7.9 WAR.
Other noteworthy seasons: 1963, 1965, 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1972.
Career WAR: 66.4.
Honoraria and claims to fame: nine All-Star selections, five NL Gold Gloves at third base, led league in OBP twice, triples once, walks four times. Jersey #10 retired by the Cubs.
Great player. Deserves election. Click above and read previous brief essays about Santo if you like, but I have nothing more to add (except that it is sad Ron is now deceased, and won't be here if his name is called to honor).
Chipmaker's vote: YES!
8. Luis Tiant (playing career | reviewed on 2007 VC and 2009 VC ballots)
Personal status: living, turned 71 in November 2011.
Previous Hall consideration
BBWAA: the full 15 ballots, peaking at 30.9% on his first try.
Veterans: 2005, 25.0% (20/80); 2007, 18.3% (15/82); 2009, 20.3% (13/64).
Primary position: RH starting pitcher.
Playing career: 19 seasons -- Cleveland Indians 1964-69, Minnesota Twins 1970, *Boston Red Sox 1971-78, New York Yankees 1979-80, Pittsburgh Pirates 1981, California Angels 1982.
Standout season: 1968 -- 21-9, 34 games (32 starts), 19 complete games, 9 shutouts (led AL), 258.1 K, 264 K, 1.60 ERA (led AL), 186 ERA+ (led AL), 0.871 WHIP, 7.2 WAR.
Other noteworthy seasons: 1972, 1973, 1974, 1976, 1978.
Career WAR: 60.1.
Honoraria and claims to fame: three All-Star selections, two AL ERA titles, led league in shutouts three times. Four 20+ win seasons. Member of the 1975 AL champion Red Sox, the 1970 AL West champion Twins, and the 1980 AL East champion Yankees.
I love Looooooie. He was a very good pitcher with periods of greatness, and one of the most entertaining men to ever take the mound, with a dazzling array of windups and numerous pitches. You never knew what he'd show off next. El Tiante was a showman.
He delivered two great seasons and a bunch of above-average ones, good and useful to his teams but not shining brightly enough for the Hall. I'd love to be wrong about his candidacy and see him on an eternal plaque (smoking a huge cigar for preference; I'm no smoker advocate, but for Tiant it was ingrained into his personality and his lasting image), but no, he's not Hall measure and he will not be elected. Sorry, Luis, you were so much fun on the field, but that's not what the Hall is about.
Chipmaker's vote: alas, no.
The Executives
9. Buzzie Bavasi (Wiki bio | career | reviewed on 2007 VC and 2008 VC ballots)
Personal status: deceased.
Previous Hall consideration
Veterans: 2003, 43.0% (34/79); 2007, 37.0% (30/81); 2008, ≤16.7% (<3/12).
Baseball career
Business manager for various Dodgers minor league teams, 1939-47 (with time away serving wartime military service.
General Manager, Montreal Royals (Dodgers' top minor league affiliate), 1948-50.
General Manager, Brooklyn/Los Angeles Dodgers, 1951-68.
President, San Diego Padres, 1969-77.
General Manager, California Angels, 1978-84.
Accomplishments
Championships: 1955 Brooklyn Dodgers, 1959, '63, & '65 Los Angeles Dodgers.
Other postseason appearances: 1952-53, '56, '66 Dodgers; 1979 & 1982 Angels.
Honors: 1959 The Sporting News Major League Executive of the Year. Inducted into the San Diego Hall of Champions, 2007.
Other: Helped baseball integrate by coordinating with Dodgers president Branch Rickey on finding northern location (Nashua, NH) for new minor league affiliate to ease introduction of black players, including Don Newcombe and Roy Campanella (Jackie was already higher up in the farm system). Established "Dodgertown" spring training facility in Vero Beach, FL. Ran the Dodgers for a long time, including the relocation to Los Angeles. Dodgers acquired Sandy Koufax, Don Drysdale, and Don Sutton during his tenure. Drafted Dave Winfield.
Bavasi was around forever, and made some headlines along the way. That long a career, who wouldn't? His tenure with the Dodgers is the meat of his candidacy, and it was a good tenure, marked with four championships and several NL pennants. But as the Brooklyn-sourced Boys of Summer aged and retired, and Sandy fell to arthritis, there wasn't much left of the great Dodgers teams. Bavasi couldn't work any magic in San Diego -- the Padres once finished as high as fourth (of six) during his time there. Sure, building an expansion team is tough, but it can be done, and here it was not. His Angels teams benefited from free agency, picking up Rod Carew and Reggie Jackson (and letting Nolan Ryan go), but it didn't last.
Bavasi was a very good executive but I don't see the greatness a Hall honoree should provide.
Chipmaker's vote: no.
10. Charlie O. Finley (Wiki bio | career | reviewed on 2007 VC ballot)
Personal status: deceased.
Previous Hall consideration
Veterans: 2003, 11.4% (9/79); 2007, 12.3% (10/81).
Baseball career
Owner, Kansas City/Oakland Athletics, 1960-81. Often acted as his own general manager or other operational roles.
Accomplishments
Championships: 1972-74 Oakland Athletics, the only non-Yankees team to win more than two consecutive World Series titles.
Other postseason appearances: 1971, 1975, 1981 Athletics.
Honors: Inducted into the Indiana Baseball Hall of Fame, 1980.
Other: Signed Reggie Jackson, Catfish Hunter, Rollie Fingers, Rickey Henderson. Never short of ideas, Finley proposed orange baseballs, the designated runner, and free agency for all players every season (a notion Marvin Miller feared).
The other team owners quickly tired of Finley's antics and tended to oppose him regardless the merits of his proposals. Finley tried to sell players (in particular, Fingers, Joe Rudi, and Vida Blue) in the wake of the 1975 free agency decision, only to have the deals overruled by Commissioner Bowie Kuhn. Always frugal -- he lost Hunter by arbitration decision after he had failed to fulfill terms of Hunter's contract -- Finley hated free agency and refused to try signing top talent.
Finley tried to move his team several times -- successfully from Kansas City to Oakland, but foiled in other attempts to move to Louisville (from KC), Denver, New Orleans, and other cities. He worked the phones constantly, always looking for information or a good deal. Finley drove people -- other team owners and executives, players, the commissioner, fans, local officials -- absolutely crazy.
His results, particularly after free agency undermined his management style, were not always so impressive -- not to knock the three championships and five consecutive division titles, those were great teams -- were not always sterling, but his efforts to get results were energetic in the extreme, and his ideas were interesting even if sometimes coming, as it were, out of left field.
Finley had a very clever mind, which I admire, and was a nettlesome rake to many who needed to be nettled. I have no delusions that he will be elected, now or ever, but I have supported him before and am glad to do so again. Baseball could use another loose cannon like Charlie O. Finley. Hey, when is Mark Cuban going to get to buy a team?
Chipmaker's vote: Yes! I would never go to the wire for Finley, but he's such a whacko-fun figure that I prefer supporting his candidacy, no matter how futile it is.
Actual electors are limited to four votes, and as it happens I support four of these ten candidates, so I need not cull anyone: Ken Boyer, Minnie Minoso, Ron Santo, and Charlie O. Finley.
If I had only one vote to cast, no question about it, Ron Santo. His election is long overdue. Make the right call this time, Golden Era committee.
Friday, November 11, 2011
The Hall of Fame's 2012 Veterans Committee ballot -- overview
The Hall has released the 2012 Veterans Committee ballot, with ten candidates. This voting cycle will cover the "Golden Age" (the Hall's term, not mine), the period from 1947-72. Candidates who had the bulk of their career during this time are eligible.
The candidates:
players -- Ken Boyer, Gil Hodges, Jim Kaat, Minnie Minoso, Tony Oliva, Allie Reynolds, Ron Santo, Luis Tiant.
executives -- Buzzie Bavasi, Charlie Finley.
I think this is a rather disappointing slate. Not for the lack of quality names; I think the Historical Overview Committee, which composed this ballot, collected about the best harvest of names it could have from the period covered. But everyone on this list is a re-tread, has been on a VC ballot within the last ten years. The Hall imposes no relegation mechanism upon past candidates, not even a short-term, temporary one, in order to induce some churn and force other names to come up for consideration. Such a thing might produce no different results, but at least it would negate much of the predictability, and make things more interesting.
Here's my quick prediction: if anyone gets elected, it will be Santo. If he does not get elected, either Santo or Hodges will have the highest return. Also, the sun will rise in the East.
Anyway... I'll do long evaluations of the candidates soon, but I cannot foresee my opinions of the Hall-worthiness of any of these men changing. I have previously supported Santo (strongly), Boyer (faintly), Minoso (moderately), and Finley (weakly).
Kaat, Minoso, Oliva, and Tiant are still among the living. (If they're going to elect Minoso, they'd best hurry up if he's to enjoy the honor, because he officially turns 86 later this month and may be even older.)
This year's electors:
HOFers/former players (8) -- Hank Aaron, Al Kaline, Ralph Kiner, Tommy Lasorda, Juan Marichal, Brooks Robinson, Don Sutton, Billy Williams.
Executives (5) -- Paul Beeston, Bill DeWitt, Roland Hemond, Gene Michael, Al Rosen.
Media (3) -- Dick Kaegel, Jack O'Connell, Dave Van Dyck.
The candidates:
players -- Ken Boyer, Gil Hodges, Jim Kaat, Minnie Minoso, Tony Oliva, Allie Reynolds, Ron Santo, Luis Tiant.
executives -- Buzzie Bavasi, Charlie Finley.
I think this is a rather disappointing slate. Not for the lack of quality names; I think the Historical Overview Committee, which composed this ballot, collected about the best harvest of names it could have from the period covered. But everyone on this list is a re-tread, has been on a VC ballot within the last ten years. The Hall imposes no relegation mechanism upon past candidates, not even a short-term, temporary one, in order to induce some churn and force other names to come up for consideration. Such a thing might produce no different results, but at least it would negate much of the predictability, and make things more interesting.
Here's my quick prediction: if anyone gets elected, it will be Santo. If he does not get elected, either Santo or Hodges will have the highest return. Also, the sun will rise in the East.
Anyway... I'll do long evaluations of the candidates soon, but I cannot foresee my opinions of the Hall-worthiness of any of these men changing. I have previously supported Santo (strongly), Boyer (faintly), Minoso (moderately), and Finley (weakly).
Kaat, Minoso, Oliva, and Tiant are still among the living. (If they're going to elect Minoso, they'd best hurry up if he's to enjoy the honor, because he officially turns 86 later this month and may be even older.)
This year's electors:
HOFers/former players (8) -- Hank Aaron, Al Kaline, Ralph Kiner, Tommy Lasorda, Juan Marichal, Brooks Robinson, Don Sutton, Billy Williams.
Executives (5) -- Paul Beeston, Bill DeWitt, Roland Hemond, Gene Michael, Al Rosen.
Media (3) -- Dick Kaegel, Jack O'Connell, Dave Van Dyck.
Sunday, January 16, 2011
The Hall's 2011 BBWAA Ballot -- The Results
I don't do this for a living -- that's probably obvious -- so expediency isn't a high priority here -- and I'm certain that is glaringly obvious.
So, a week and a half later, let's wrap up the 2011 Hall of Fame ballot results.
Congratulations go to newest Hall honorees, in alphabetical order, Roberto Alomar and Bert Blyleven!!!
Yeah, I'm happy-delighted-ecstatic about Blyleven gaining the plaque. Long overdue, a long and uphill battle on the Web was fought, and the forces of good have prevailed. Yay!
2011 results
581 ballots submitted (a new record).
436 votes (75%) needed for election.
30 votes (5%) needed to stay on the ballot.
...candidate.......... votes.. %.. (remaining ballots)
--- ELECTED ---
1. Roberto Alomar..... 523.. 90.0%
2. Bert Blyleven...... 463.. 79.7%
--- not elected ---
3. Barry Larkin....... 361.. 62.1%... (13)
4. Jack Morris........ 311.. 53.5%... (3)
5. Lee Smith.......... 263.. 45.3%... (6)
6. Jeff Bagwell....... 242.. 41.7%... (14)
7. Tim Raines......... 218.. 37.5%... (11)
8. Edgar Martinez..... 191.. 32.9%... (13)
9. Alan Trammell...... 141.. 24.3%... (5)
10. Larry Walker...... 118.. 20.3%... (14)
11. Mark McGwire...... 115.. 19.8%... (10)
12. Fred McGriff...... 104.. 17.9%... (13)
13. Dave Parker........ 89.. 15.3%... candidacy expired
14. Don Mattingly...... 79.. 13.6%... (4)
15. Dale Murphy........ 73.. 12.6%... (2)
16. Rafael Palmeiro.... 64.. 11.0%... (14)
17. Juan Gonzalez...... 30... 5.2%... (14)
--- relegated ---
18. Harold Baines...... 28... 4.8%
19. John Franco........ 27... 4.7%
20. Kevin Brown........ 12... 2.1%
21. Tino Martinez....... 6... 1.0%
22t. Marquis Grissom.... 4... 0.7%
22t. Al Leiter.......... 4... 0.7%
22t. John Olerud........ 4... 0.7%
25. BJ Surhoff.......... 2... 0.3%
26t. Bret Boone......... 1... 0.2%
26t. Benito Santiago.... 1... 0.2%
28t. Carlos Baerga...... 0... 0.0%
28t. Lenny Harris....... 0... 0.0%
28t. Bobby Higginson.... 0... 0.0%
28t. Charles Johnson.... 0... 0.0%
28t. Raul Mondesi....... 0... 0.0%
28t. Kirk Rueter........ 0... 0.0%
Candidates I supported: Alomar, Bagwell, Blyleven, Larkin, Edgar Martinez, McGwire, McGriff, Murphy, Raines, and Smith. I was also in support of, but limited myself to ten candidates so had to cull them, Brown, Franco, and Walker.
Running down the ballot...
The electees:
Alomar (+16.4%) weathered his first-ballot slap on the wrist just fine. There can be other reasons why a candidate gains so greatly in one year, but this one was obvious. It was an embargo, but never intended to be a permanent one.
Blyleven (+5.5%) -- FINALLY!
The 2012 returning candidates:
Larkin (+10.6%) will make it, probably in 2012.
Morris (+1.2%) showed negligible movement and no promise. Unless he gets a tremendous push in the next three years -- and upcoming ballots look to be clogged with superior first-time candidates, which won't help his cause -- he's not going to make it. I'm awaiting the Morris proponents, particularly the ones who were not in favor of Blyleven, to start using the "Bert is in, Jack should be too" argument. They probably won't even notice the irony.
Smith (-2.0%) also didn't really move. He's got some years yet, and I think his election would enhance the "Hall reliever profile" that is slowly taking shape, but I recognize his candidacy is not looking promising.
Bagwell started well, but not as well as I think he should have gotten. The whispering campaign about him, that he played during the steroid era and lookit those forearms! and therefore dot dot dot, is utterly disgusting (and also cowardly, as no one will fill in the "dot dot dot" -- mainly because they cannot, no matter how much they want to do so). Turn up evidence, you alleged reporters, or swallow your egos and your collective failure to capture the steroid scandal in real time and cast this man his well-deserved votes. Bagwell is a Hall of Fame class player and person and you know it!
Raines (+7.1%) made a nice gain, has a lot of years left, and with the Blyleven candidacy closed (properly) he's probably going to be the next championed cause of the sabermetric crowd. He deserves that support and he deserves the plaque. Let's get on it!
Edgar Martinez (-3.3%) needs that support as well, though as a designated hitter, his battle is much more steeply uphill. The Hall will have to recognize a primary DH (Molitor doesn't really count) some day, and it may as well start with the very best ever, and that man is Edgar.
Trammell (+1.8%) is going nowhere and running out of time. I can see his case; I don't agree with it enough, but it's a good argument, better than many others.
Walker has to fight the reputation of Coors Field. That won't be easy, but at least it's an easier argument to debate than what the Blyleven cause had to contend against.
McGwire (-4.0%) lost a bit of support (not just from the higher return, he did lose a few votes) after his "yes, I used steroids" confession. Well, at least he didn't completely tank. That really was the last card he had to play, so unless the electorate undergoes a sea change in attitude (which could happen, but will not any time soon), he's a dead candidate walking. Or hanging around the batting cage, at least.
McGriff (-3.6%) is supposed to be one of those guys who, many think, would benefit from being perceived as clean despite playing in the notorious steroid era. I've always thought that was a spurious argument, that most voters don't approach their ballot that way, boosting guys who have a higher standing in public perception, and it certainly does not appear to hold water, because this notion isn't helping Murphy either. Voters seem to need to have a great deal of reason to vote for a candidate -- and they should -- but very little reason to vote against (okay, "not for") even the worthiest of candidates.
Mattingly (-2.5%) is going nowhere.
Murphy (+0.9%) is also going nowhere.
Palmeiro -- well, at least he stayed on the ballot, with a 6% margin, which should be large enough to buy him some grace time. With potentially 14 years more as a BBWAA candidate, he could benefit if the sea change arrives. I sincerely doubt it, either that it will come to pass during his window or that his candidacy would improve enough to see him elected, but at least he should last long enough to provide some interesting data.
Gonzalez survived by the thinnest whisker possible (one fewer vote and he'd be in the next candidate class, below). He may hang around a few years, but eventually he'll fall off. Nothing to see here.
The relegated candidates:
Parker (+0.1%) got no last-ballot sympathy, and is off the ballot. It happens.
Baines (-1.3%) still had his hardcore Chicago contingent of supporters, but the larger ballot return this time swamped them, and he went from skirting the retention edge to falling just over it. Doesn't upset me.
The remainder of the relegated candidates were all ballot rookies, and I have comments about only two of them, so the rest -- Tino Martinez, Grissom, Leiter, Olerud, Surhoff, Boone, Santiago, Baerga, Harris, Higginson, Johnson, Mondesi, and Rueter -- just get one last mention, and a wave farewell. You were good players all, guys, and you deserved being on the Hall ballot, even if just the one time. That's more than most players get.
So, those last two players.
Brown was a damn good pitcher -- not Clemens/Maddux/Johnson/Martinez class, but in the next step down for his era, with Mussina and Schilling. He had, I think, three strikes against him -- one, a perceived bad attitude or poor interpersonal skills, at least with the media; two, that monster $105M contract and the notion that he never lived up to it (he had good seasons and poor ones under that deal), and "not living up to it" is almost a cardinal sin to the baseball press; and three, steroids allegations, reasonably well-supported in the Mitchell Report. However, as much as some writers like to be anti-steroids scolds, in Brown's case this was probably the least important of the strikes against him. The writers just did not like the guy. I had little hopes he would get the plaque (ever), but he deserved better than this anemic return, a few more turns on the ballot at least. It is not to be.
Franco also deserved better. What is it with relievers, that the electorate either ushers them in immediately (Eckersley), after a loooooong wait (Sutter, Gossage, maybe Smith), or dismisses them rather harshly? Franco was a very good pitcher, and I supported him, though with only faint hopes he ever would get elected. That wasn't really my cause anyway; what I really would like to see, and I've mentioned this more than once in recent years (regarding Orosco and Jackson in particular), is a reliever to stay on the ballot so that more dialogue can be held regarding relief pitchers and what it takes to measure up to the standards of the Hall. Closers, at least, have save stats (no matter that they are woefully flawed) -- middle relievers are really screwed here -- but Franco's hefty saves total didn't help him a bit. And so, he's gone, and so is another golden opportunity to drive discussion about relief pitchers. The message the voters are giving is mixed -- okay, there should only be a few ever good enough for Cooperstown, but to have a candidate like Franco booted at the start doesn't leave any middle ground, someone to think about for a while. I'd settle for reading reasons why Franco was considered, by almost all the voters, not good enough a reliever, because he certainly is comparable to those already in and the one continuing candidate. It is extremely difficult to resolve a pattern here.
Looking ahead to the 2012 ballot, the returnees include Bagwell, Gonzalez, Larkin, Edgar Martinez, Mattingly, McGriff, McGwire, Morris, Murphy, Palmeiro, Raines, Smith, Trammell, and Walker. Eight of those are men I've supported, and Walker would have been my 11th candidate this time, so unless I abandon some (something which I try not to do, even a lost cause like Murphy) I'll have only one slot for a new candidate. This, however, will likely not be an issue, because the 2012 rookies are an uninspiring lot. The headliners likely will be Bernie Williams, Tim Salmon, and Javy Lopez. Sure, they were good, sometimes great, but Hall class? Possibly Williams, at most. So some lesser candidates may have a good chance next year, and they'll need it, because the 2013 ballot will be a shockwave -- the first of several upcoming, bursting with rookie candidates -- that well could sweep many away.
So, a week and a half later, let's wrap up the 2011 Hall of Fame ballot results.
Congratulations go to newest Hall honorees, in alphabetical order, Roberto Alomar and Bert Blyleven!!!
Yeah, I'm happy-delighted-ecstatic about Blyleven gaining the plaque. Long overdue, a long and uphill battle on the Web was fought, and the forces of good have prevailed. Yay!
2011 results
581 ballots submitted (a new record).
436 votes (75%) needed for election.
30 votes (5%) needed to stay on the ballot.
...candidate.......... votes.. %.. (remaining ballots)
--- ELECTED ---
1. Roberto Alomar..... 523.. 90.0%
2. Bert Blyleven...... 463.. 79.7%
--- not elected ---
3. Barry Larkin....... 361.. 62.1%... (13)
4. Jack Morris........ 311.. 53.5%... (3)
5. Lee Smith.......... 263.. 45.3%... (6)
6. Jeff Bagwell....... 242.. 41.7%... (14)
7. Tim Raines......... 218.. 37.5%... (11)
8. Edgar Martinez..... 191.. 32.9%... (13)
9. Alan Trammell...... 141.. 24.3%... (5)
10. Larry Walker...... 118.. 20.3%... (14)
11. Mark McGwire...... 115.. 19.8%... (10)
12. Fred McGriff...... 104.. 17.9%... (13)
13. Dave Parker........ 89.. 15.3%... candidacy expired
14. Don Mattingly...... 79.. 13.6%... (4)
15. Dale Murphy........ 73.. 12.6%... (2)
16. Rafael Palmeiro.... 64.. 11.0%... (14)
17. Juan Gonzalez...... 30... 5.2%... (14)
--- relegated ---
18. Harold Baines...... 28... 4.8%
19. John Franco........ 27... 4.7%
20. Kevin Brown........ 12... 2.1%
21. Tino Martinez....... 6... 1.0%
22t. Marquis Grissom.... 4... 0.7%
22t. Al Leiter.......... 4... 0.7%
22t. John Olerud........ 4... 0.7%
25. BJ Surhoff.......... 2... 0.3%
26t. Bret Boone......... 1... 0.2%
26t. Benito Santiago.... 1... 0.2%
28t. Carlos Baerga...... 0... 0.0%
28t. Lenny Harris....... 0... 0.0%
28t. Bobby Higginson.... 0... 0.0%
28t. Charles Johnson.... 0... 0.0%
28t. Raul Mondesi....... 0... 0.0%
28t. Kirk Rueter........ 0... 0.0%
Candidates I supported: Alomar, Bagwell, Blyleven, Larkin, Edgar Martinez, McGwire, McGriff, Murphy, Raines, and Smith. I was also in support of, but limited myself to ten candidates so had to cull them, Brown, Franco, and Walker.
Running down the ballot...
The electees:
Alomar (+16.4%) weathered his first-ballot slap on the wrist just fine. There can be other reasons why a candidate gains so greatly in one year, but this one was obvious. It was an embargo, but never intended to be a permanent one.
Blyleven (+5.5%) -- FINALLY!
The 2012 returning candidates:
Larkin (+10.6%) will make it, probably in 2012.
Morris (+1.2%) showed negligible movement and no promise. Unless he gets a tremendous push in the next three years -- and upcoming ballots look to be clogged with superior first-time candidates, which won't help his cause -- he's not going to make it. I'm awaiting the Morris proponents, particularly the ones who were not in favor of Blyleven, to start using the "Bert is in, Jack should be too" argument. They probably won't even notice the irony.
Smith (-2.0%) also didn't really move. He's got some years yet, and I think his election would enhance the "Hall reliever profile" that is slowly taking shape, but I recognize his candidacy is not looking promising.
Bagwell started well, but not as well as I think he should have gotten. The whispering campaign about him, that he played during the steroid era and lookit those forearms! and therefore dot dot dot, is utterly disgusting (and also cowardly, as no one will fill in the "dot dot dot" -- mainly because they cannot, no matter how much they want to do so). Turn up evidence, you alleged reporters, or swallow your egos and your collective failure to capture the steroid scandal in real time and cast this man his well-deserved votes. Bagwell is a Hall of Fame class player and person and you know it!
Raines (+7.1%) made a nice gain, has a lot of years left, and with the Blyleven candidacy closed (properly) he's probably going to be the next championed cause of the sabermetric crowd. He deserves that support and he deserves the plaque. Let's get on it!
Edgar Martinez (-3.3%) needs that support as well, though as a designated hitter, his battle is much more steeply uphill. The Hall will have to recognize a primary DH (Molitor doesn't really count) some day, and it may as well start with the very best ever, and that man is Edgar.
Trammell (+1.8%) is going nowhere and running out of time. I can see his case; I don't agree with it enough, but it's a good argument, better than many others.
Walker has to fight the reputation of Coors Field. That won't be easy, but at least it's an easier argument to debate than what the Blyleven cause had to contend against.
McGwire (-4.0%) lost a bit of support (not just from the higher return, he did lose a few votes) after his "yes, I used steroids" confession. Well, at least he didn't completely tank. That really was the last card he had to play, so unless the electorate undergoes a sea change in attitude (which could happen, but will not any time soon), he's a dead candidate walking. Or hanging around the batting cage, at least.
McGriff (-3.6%) is supposed to be one of those guys who, many think, would benefit from being perceived as clean despite playing in the notorious steroid era. I've always thought that was a spurious argument, that most voters don't approach their ballot that way, boosting guys who have a higher standing in public perception, and it certainly does not appear to hold water, because this notion isn't helping Murphy either. Voters seem to need to have a great deal of reason to vote for a candidate -- and they should -- but very little reason to vote against (okay, "not for") even the worthiest of candidates.
Mattingly (-2.5%) is going nowhere.
Murphy (+0.9%) is also going nowhere.
Palmeiro -- well, at least he stayed on the ballot, with a 6% margin, which should be large enough to buy him some grace time. With potentially 14 years more as a BBWAA candidate, he could benefit if the sea change arrives. I sincerely doubt it, either that it will come to pass during his window or that his candidacy would improve enough to see him elected, but at least he should last long enough to provide some interesting data.
Gonzalez survived by the thinnest whisker possible (one fewer vote and he'd be in the next candidate class, below). He may hang around a few years, but eventually he'll fall off. Nothing to see here.
The relegated candidates:
Parker (+0.1%) got no last-ballot sympathy, and is off the ballot. It happens.
Baines (-1.3%) still had his hardcore Chicago contingent of supporters, but the larger ballot return this time swamped them, and he went from skirting the retention edge to falling just over it. Doesn't upset me.
The remainder of the relegated candidates were all ballot rookies, and I have comments about only two of them, so the rest -- Tino Martinez, Grissom, Leiter, Olerud, Surhoff, Boone, Santiago, Baerga, Harris, Higginson, Johnson, Mondesi, and Rueter -- just get one last mention, and a wave farewell. You were good players all, guys, and you deserved being on the Hall ballot, even if just the one time. That's more than most players get.
So, those last two players.
Brown was a damn good pitcher -- not Clemens/Maddux/Johnson/Martinez class, but in the next step down for his era, with Mussina and Schilling. He had, I think, three strikes against him -- one, a perceived bad attitude or poor interpersonal skills, at least with the media; two, that monster $105M contract and the notion that he never lived up to it (he had good seasons and poor ones under that deal), and "not living up to it" is almost a cardinal sin to the baseball press; and three, steroids allegations, reasonably well-supported in the Mitchell Report. However, as much as some writers like to be anti-steroids scolds, in Brown's case this was probably the least important of the strikes against him. The writers just did not like the guy. I had little hopes he would get the plaque (ever), but he deserved better than this anemic return, a few more turns on the ballot at least. It is not to be.
Franco also deserved better. What is it with relievers, that the electorate either ushers them in immediately (Eckersley), after a loooooong wait (Sutter, Gossage, maybe Smith), or dismisses them rather harshly? Franco was a very good pitcher, and I supported him, though with only faint hopes he ever would get elected. That wasn't really my cause anyway; what I really would like to see, and I've mentioned this more than once in recent years (regarding Orosco and Jackson in particular), is a reliever to stay on the ballot so that more dialogue can be held regarding relief pitchers and what it takes to measure up to the standards of the Hall. Closers, at least, have save stats (no matter that they are woefully flawed) -- middle relievers are really screwed here -- but Franco's hefty saves total didn't help him a bit. And so, he's gone, and so is another golden opportunity to drive discussion about relief pitchers. The message the voters are giving is mixed -- okay, there should only be a few ever good enough for Cooperstown, but to have a candidate like Franco booted at the start doesn't leave any middle ground, someone to think about for a while. I'd settle for reading reasons why Franco was considered, by almost all the voters, not good enough a reliever, because he certainly is comparable to those already in and the one continuing candidate. It is extremely difficult to resolve a pattern here.
Looking ahead to the 2012 ballot, the returnees include Bagwell, Gonzalez, Larkin, Edgar Martinez, Mattingly, McGriff, McGwire, Morris, Murphy, Palmeiro, Raines, Smith, Trammell, and Walker. Eight of those are men I've supported, and Walker would have been my 11th candidate this time, so unless I abandon some (something which I try not to do, even a lost cause like Murphy) I'll have only one slot for a new candidate. This, however, will likely not be an issue, because the 2012 rookies are an uninspiring lot. The headliners likely will be Bernie Williams, Tim Salmon, and Javy Lopez. Sure, they were good, sometimes great, but Hall class? Possibly Williams, at most. So some lesser candidates may have a good chance next year, and they'll need it, because the 2013 ballot will be a shockwave -- the first of several upcoming, bursting with rookie candidates -- that well could sweep many away.
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